Tuesday, March 11, 2025

How the US Projects Power in East Asia


Why does the the US have so many bases in East Asia?

The simple answer you get from Twitter types is that it’s “imperialism” or “hegemony.” These are interesting arguments, but lack depth.

The real answer is about great-power competition.

Great powers do not react to threats – they anticipate them. The U.S. bases in East Asia were built to stop Soviet expansion in East Asia. But have been reoriented to keep China from dominating their local geographical region.

🌍 The most intriguing US bases in the Indo-Pacific

That’s why the U.S. built this network of bases in the first place. After World War II, it locked in alliances with Japan, South Korea, and others to make sure no single power could take over the region.

The Pacific is a strategic buffer – and an American lake from Kyushu to San Diego. That’s by strategic design.

The layered structure of U.S. military positions across the Pacific has two main purposes:

  1. Containment and Forward Defense . The US needs to project power as far as possible from the U.S. mainland. This was used to contain the USSR. Now its been pivoted to China.
  2. Strategic Buffering – Creating multiple defensive layers to absorb and slow down any potential adversary’s expansion.

So how do these layers work?

Breaking down the strategic layers.

First, and Second Island chains. With Hawaii, Alaska (not pictured), South Pacific, and NZ forming the connection to the Americas.

The layers serve two roles: offensive and defensive. It gives the U.S. has reaction time and multiple fallback positions. The US can use it like spear pointed at any adversary in the Far East and South East Asia. At the same time, they can use it as a buffer.

There’s two layers you need to look at.

First Layer: The Forward Perimeter

This first and most critical layer are use U.S. military bases in allied territories closest to China. These form the first line of containment and offensive power projection.

US bases positioned for war against China – Solidarity Online
The first island chain provides the spear and the shield for the forward perimeter for US military power in Asia.

1. Japan: The Cornerstone of U.S. Forward Defense

Japan is the most strategically important U.S. ally in Asia. It provides bases, logistics, and force projection capabilities right on China’s doorstep. Japanese prime ministers have even acknowledged this.

Wings of Unity: US, international airborne forces soar in annual New Year's  Jump > Yokota Air Base > Article Display
Japanese Self Defense Force (JSDF) Airborne Brigade at JGSDF Camp Fuji

1980s prime minister Nakasone Yasuhiro even called it an “unsinkable aircraft carrier”.

Here’s a breakdown of US military presence:

  • Okinawa (Kadena Air Base, Marine Corps Base Futenma) – Home to the largest U.S. airbase in Asia, capable of launching fighters and bombers into the East China Sea and Taiwan Strait. Also home to 1st Battalion, 1st Special Forces Group, which is forward deployed.
  • Yokosuka Naval Base – Headquarters of the U.S. 7th Fleet, responsible for controlling Pacific naval dominance. A US Marine Corps amphibious assault group is based here.
  • Misawa Air Base, Iwakuni, Sasebo – Hosting U.S. Air Force and Navy assets which allow them to control airspace over the Tsushima Strait, Sea of Japan, and the First Island Chain from Japan to the Philippines. Also defend against naval assets threatening Guam.

Japan is critical. If Japan were neutralized? The U.S. would lose its most powerful regional foothold and logistics base – allowing China to project power and influence into the Pacific and beyond.

U.S. forces can operate close to China and Russia without exposing the American homeland.

Japan is the key anchor in the 1st layer that prevents U.S. influence from being pushed back beyond the second island chain.

But you need Korea to close the defense line.

2. South Korea is a spear pointed at China and Russia.

Joint Security Area - Wikipedia
Panmunjom, Joint Security Area, Demilitarized Zone, facing north towards North Korea.

The Korean War remains a frozen war for this reason. Controlling the Korean peninsula controls multiple bodies of water – air and naval superiority.

U.S. forces in South Korea primarily deter North Korea. The real reason? They also are secondary counterweight to China and Russia.

So what are the main U.S. Military Presence?

  • Osan and Kunsan Air Bases: These bases are critical hubs for U.S. airpower in South Korea, hosting F-16 Fighting Falcons, A-10 Thunderbolt IIs, and KC-135 Stratotankers, which enable sustained air operations across the region. Air assets stationed here provide coverage over the Yellow Sea, Sea of Japan, and the Tsushima Strait, while also posing a deterrent to Chinese naval sorties from Dalian and Russian naval movements from Vladivostok.
  • Camp Humphreys: Located south of Seoul, Camp Humphreys is strategically positioned to reduce vulnerability while maintaining operational reach. As the largest U.S. overseas military base, it serves as the logistical backbone for U.S. forces in Korea, supporting troop deployments, equipment storage, and supply chains for prolonged regional conflict.
  • Camp Casey and Camp Stanley: Situated near the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ), these bases house the 2nd Infantry Division, providing a rapid-response capability to counter potential North Korean aggression. Their proximity to the border ensures immediate readiness for ground operations.
  • Daegu Air Base: This base supports U.S. Army aviation assets and serves as a key logistics hub for U.S. Forces Korea (USFK), enhancing mobility and supply distribution across the peninsula.

South Korea isn’t just deterring North Korea.

It forces China to split its military focus between Taiwan and the Korean Peninsula. While making it difficult for Russian naval power to transit the region.

Combined with bases in Japan, it also blocks the Tsushima Strait, a key choke point for great powers in the region.

If you look at both Japan and Korea together? They form a block that secures trade routes, transport, and power projection. Large reason why Korea is fought over so heavily by Russians, Chinese, Japanese, and Americans historically.

But this only North. What about the south?

3. The Philippines and Taiwan close the southern flank

Philippines anchors the southern strategic flank

US and Philippine forces fire on mock enemy warship in South China Sea  military exercise | CNN
Army of the Philippines. Yes, they have their own tanks too.

The Philippines is more than a strategic foothold—it’s a hard and diplomatic power lever.

The U.S. presence in Philippines allows Washington to shape disputes in the South China Sea. Using naval forces to balance against China. Or any other rising South East Asian power.

A divided region benefits Washington. A US dependent Philippines ensures the US can back different claimants when it serves its interests. With force projection. Where fleets arrive, diplomatic power follows.

This was true in the past, during the Vietnam War and now, by the bases in the region:

  • Subic Bay supports carrier strike groups, amphibious task forces, and submarine patrols operating in the South China Sea. It serves as a resupply hub, keeping U.S. naval forces forward-deployed without relying on distant bases like Guam or Japan. Used to be a base in the Cold War, but has shifted to logistics duties.
  • Clark Air Base and other airbases strengthens control over the seas around the Philippines. Maritime patrol aircraft track naval movements, ISR platforms monitor key shipping lanes, and fighters secure airspace over critical maritime chokepoints.
United States 🇺🇸 military went from zero to 9 bases in the past few  months in Philippines 🇵🇭. With 2 dozen F 22s, aircraft carrier and  submarine ports, in conjunction with with
Map of the bases. Spratly Islands are disputed by the Philippines, China, and Vietnam over potential gas resources under the sea.

The Philippines is quite crucial. Without it, the U.S. would lose strategic access to the South China Sea, allowing Beijing a heavier hand in territorial disputes over the Nine Dash Line.

But we can’t forget Taiwan’s role in this. Like Japan and Korea, its paired with the Philippines.

Taiwan is a pin that holds the first line together.

Taiwan extends mandatory military service to prepare soldiers for  cross-strait conflict | South China Morning Post

A Taiwan that remains close to Washington reinforces the First Island Chain. It creates a chokepoint between China and the broader Pacific, combined with the Philippines. Its also close enough to China to monitor military movements, disrupt PLA Navy naval operations, and serve as a launch point for force projection in a crisis.

This benefits U.S. strategy in several ways:

  • Control of Pacific Access – U.S. naval forces and allies maintain the ability to monitor and block Chinese fleet movements beyond the First Island Chain. Naval task forces that go beyond risk attack on their supply lines.
  • Intelligence Operations – Taiwan’s proximity to the Chinese mainland allows it to monitor naval deployments, missile launches, and air operations in real time. It provides the U.S. and its allies with critical intelligence on Chinese military movements, giving Washington an operational advantage.
  • Limited Power Projection – Without direct access to the Pacific, China is forced to move south regional power, constrained by U.S. bases and allied fleets. Taiwan provides a forward base that integrates with U.S. operations in Japan, the Philippines, and Guam.

Taiwan and the Philippines together form a strategic barrier. Taiwan holds the center. The Philippines locks down the south. Lose these, and the U.S. becomes a spectator in East Asia.

The naval gap between Taiwan and the Philippines is a chokepoint covered by land aircraft from Taiwan, Okinawa, and Philippines. Gives the US 7th Fleet in Japan and Pacific Fleet in Hawaii time to get underway

China being able to break through allows influence in the South Pacific islands, the Straits of Malaca, and even the Indian Ocean.

But these are obvious ones we know. There’s second layer that’s not mentioned:

Second Layer: The Staging Area

Okay, this is about logistics. This isn’t as exciting right? Wrong. It’s just as critical – it allows sustainment of US hard power in the Western Pacific. And diplomatic influence as well.

Sustainment is military speak for logistics.

Three places are critical for that:

1. Guam

DVIDS - Images - US Naval Base Guam [Image 6 of 12]
Attack and ballistic missile subs are often forward supplied here. Along with DDGs. Bombers like the B-2 Sprit and B-52 are often based here.

Guam is America’s forward launchpad—the linchpin for projecting power across the First Island Chain. Its location makes it indispensable for keeping bombers, subs, and carrier groups within striking distance of potential hotspots.

  • Supports critical air and naval assets: Guam enables the continuous operation of B-1B and B-52 bombers, F-22 and F-35 fighters, KC-135 refueling aircraft, and Virginia-class attack submarines, eliminating the need to fall back to distant bases like Hawaii or Alaska.
  • Sustains naval presence: Carrier strike groups, including Nimitz and Ford-class carriers, and amphibious ready groups with Wasp-class and America-class ships, rotate through Guam to maintain a forward-deployed posture in contested waters.
  • Enhances rapid response capabilities: The reopening of Marine Corps Base Camp Blaz—the first new Marine base in 70 years—hosts 5,000 Marines, bolstering the U.S. military’s ability to rapidly deploy forces across the region.

But even the best staging ground is useless, if you can’t keep it fueled, armed, and supplied. Guam can’t operate in a vacuum.

To sustain this forward presence, the U.S. needs a mid Pacific base in the pipeline stretching 6,000 miles back to the American mainland.

2. Hawaii: Command and Control.

Joint Base Pearl Harbor–Hickam - Wikipedia
Oahu was a major naval, army, and marine base in WW2. It forms the midpoint for all operations in the Pacific.

Hawaii is a mid-Pacific hub that bridges the continental U.S. and Guam, serving as a critical link to the First Island Chain. It also functions as a major command and control center for naval operations and ship movements across the Pacific.

There’s a reason:

  • Naval power at Pearl Harbor: Pearl Harbor is the cornerstone of U.S. naval strength in the Pacific, home to Nimitz and Ford-class carrier strike groups, Los Angeles and Virginia-class submarines, and Arleigh Burke-class destroyers, which operate across the region to maintain maritime dominance.
  • Air Force force projection: The Air Force rotates B-1B and B-52 bombers, F-22 Raptors, and F-35 fighters through Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam, ensuring continuous airpower presence and rapid response capabilities in East Asia.
  • Army’s strategic reserve: The 25th Infantry Division, based at Schofield Barracks, acts as a rapid-response force, ready to reinforce U.S. troops in South Korea or support Marine operations in Okinawa during contingencies.
  • Marine amphibious readiness: The Marine Corps at Marine Corps Base Hawaii (Kaneohe Bay) maintains a robust amphibious force, including 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) elements, to support expeditionary operations and reinforce U.S. presence across the Pacific.

Hawaii isn’t just a command center and ogistical and operational backbone that ties East Asian operations to the continental U.S. Without Hawaii, the U.S. would face significant challenges in sustaining power projection and operational readiness in the Pacific.

3. Alaska: Securing the Northern Air Route

Asian American & Pacific Islander month - Flight Path Museum LAX
Air bridge supply routes often follow the curve of the earth. So Alaska sits at a very clear air superiority choke point.

Finally, there’s Alaska. It might seem like an odd player in the Pacific, but its role is absolutely critical. Alaska isn’t a direct player its in a different command – Northern Command – unlike the other units that sit in Pacific Command.

But its a critical supply route and strategic base. Using it, the U.S. can move airlift forces into the Pacific without interference.

  • Airpower Hub: Alaska hosts Eielson Air Force Base and Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson. These bases are home to F-22 Raptors and F-35 Lightning IIs. These fighters control the skies over the North Pacific. They also secure U.S. air reinforcement routes. Alaska’s location makes it a natural midpoint for air routes from the U.S. to Japan and beyond.
  • 11th Airborne Division – Known as the “Arctic Angels,” it’s based in Alaska. As an airborne unit, it can deploy faster than conventional forces like the 25th Infantry Division. Logistics load is lighter. So it ends up both as a Quick Reaction Force (QRF) for the Indo-Pacific and Arctic, ready to rapidly deploy to hotspots across the region.
  • Critical Staging Point for Logistics: Alaska is a logistical hub for U.S. operations. In a time of a Pacific War? Alaska is an ammo dump. It supports Air Mobility Command (AMC) aircraft like C-17s and C-130s. With these planes move troops, ammunition, and equipment from the U.S. to forward bases in Japan, South Korea, and Guam.

Without Alaska keeping these air routes secure, the entire chain to sustain any offensive power projection or defensive front line falls apart.

But I think we need to talk less analysis – the real question is how to respond to this for China. In the US case, how to maintain it:

How would any peer adversary counter this?

Chinese Navy Expands Presence in Asia
Future PLA Naval aircraft carrier task forces and

Peer adversary in question is China. With Russia as a possible secondary actor.

I know the commentators will use “unlimited Dongfang misses” argument. Which is lazy wonder weapon thinking. It misses the point.

Weapons enhance tactics and force projection – wonder weapons don’t get you strategic wins.

But what would get that strategic win?

  • China or Russia manages to influence Japan and South Korea. This would be difficult given the hold the US has over Japan, and the Japanese government’s willingness to navigate the US system. South Korea is more likely, given the constant shifting in political power. But it is unlikely to align with China outright.
  • China retakes Taiwan, through military force, peaceful reunification, or influence over local government. Taiwan and the seas around it become a route to project power and influence eastward. Then attempts to disrupt supply lines from the continental US to the first island chain.
  • Philippines realigns itself with China. This would be very difficult given the long alignment the Philippines shares with the US, leverage over the Filipino economy, and . This is not to say it can’t happen. But it would take a significant drop in legitimacy, political, and economic power for that to happen.

Directly countering US power projection in East Asia would be a matter of political opportunism. Rather than direct military force.

You’re unlikely to get Japan, Korea, and Philippines to switch sides.

But you can get them to declare enough neutrality in a possible hot war. Long enough that ties up options the US has in a South China Sea or a Taiwan scenario.

Another move is what China is doing already. Cultivating relationships with Southeast Asian nations. We’ve also seen diplomatic alignment Myanmar and Pakistan to bypass the choke point near Singapore (Strait of Malacca).

This means:

  • Push the US back to the Second Island Chain. Get a political realignment in one nation of the network of allies that make up the First Island Chain.
  • Control the South China Sea or influence nations around it. This opens up basing opportunities for the PLA Navy to quickly project naval and military power in the region.
  • Bypass the South China Sea to project power influence in the Indian Ocean via Myanmar or Pakistan. Or find a friendly nation that frees up transit through the Straits of Malacca.

How would the US maintain this?

Yokosuka | Travel Japan - Japan National Tourism Organization (Official  Site)

No analysis would be complete without looking at the other side here.

The US strategy is simple: hold the line and current policy. They need to make sure allies stay allies – by diplomacy, leverage, increased economic ties, or even treachery. Carrot and stick is quite effective.

A strategic advantage requires:

  • Retaining Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines. Losing influence over any of the nations here? Signals a decline in military power. A withdrawal from a single one, signals a major political decline.
  • Effective logistics. Since 1991, these have weakened. A war in the Pacific needs massive sea lift and airlift capacity to move troops, fuel, and munitions across thousands of miles—while under threat. The U.S. must rebuild its transport fleet and expand forward ammo and fuel dumps in Japan, the Philippines, and other First Island Chain nations. Without these, any fight is lost before it begins.
  • Effective training to respond to contingencies. During the Cold War, the US regularly performed exercises to test operational readiness – to deter the USSR and reassure allies of willingness to fight. Testing how quickly QRF units like the 11th Airborne respond demonstrates strength to peer rivals. And commitment to allies in the region.

Rebuilding the economy to support this military policy would be important. The current US doctrine suffers from GWOT syndrome. The assumption that wars will be fought quickly – which is unlikely for this scenario. To be able to project power is to demonstrate the current status quo can hold.

Final Thoughts.

There things I think a casual geopolitical observer needs to watch:

  • Political maneuvering. You must look at how the geopolitical relations evolve in the Koreas, Japan, Taiwan, and Philippines. How the US, China, and even Russia affect the sustainability of the US to project power in East Asia. It doesn’t mean a clear realignment either. Realignments are likely to be subtle – economic first and political – while they maintain strategic ambiguity. If China offers an economic alternative that outweighs American security guarantees, political alignment will shift. The balance of power does not rest on sentiment. It is preserved by the calculation of interests.
  • Naval and military build up. Military forces do not exist to respond to threats. They exist to shape the battlefield before a threat emerges. The U.S. Pacific presence is structured around this principle. Bases, naval deployments, and airpower are not positioned defensively. They are forward-deployed to dictate the terms of engagement. China’s naval expansion is not a sign of war—it is a signal of intent. It is an attempt to alter the strategic environment in ways that reduce American freedom of action. The question is whether Beijing can extend its reach beyond the First Island Chain before Washington reinforces its own position
  • Logistics. No power has ever dominated the Pacific without first mastering the problem of distance. The U.S. built its empire on its ability to project force across oceans while ensuring its supply lines remained intact. Logistics are not a secondary concern; they are the foundation of strategy. Bases in Japan, South Korea, Guam, and Hawaii serve a single function—to reduce the gap between the American mainland and the battlespace. Every war game, every simulation, every historical lesson points to the same conclusion. Without secure lines of resupply, power projection collapses. As long as the US can do this, China’s projection of power moves South and West. It cannot meaningfully influence the Americas until it breaks this line.

U.S. bases in the Pacific are strategic buffer. But they are also a means of shaping the battlefield that China must fight on in the Pacific. The bases and alliances help limit the options.

I also invite you to take a look at this site- www.whatfinger.com

Sunday, March 9, 2025

Nord Stream 2, the $9.5 billion pipeline, may return from the dead — with Trump, U.S. investors, and global power struggles shaping its uncertain future. Is Europe’s energy fate up for grabs?



At the bottom of the Baltic Sea lies a pipeline once hailed as Europe’s energy lifeline — Nord Stream 2. It promised Germany reliable and affordable natural gas directly from Russia, bypassing transit countries and ensuring stable supply for decades. Instead, it became a geopolitical flashpoint, a victim of sabotage, and ultimately a symbol of Europe’s energy vulnerability. But now, with Trump in the White House, whispers of Nord Stream 2’s revival are growing louder, leaving global observers wondering: Is this pipeline truly dead, or is it merely in hibernation, waiting for its moment to resurface?

A Pipeline Born from Promise and Controversy

To understand Nord Stream 2’s turbulent fate, we need to go back to its origins. The project dates back to the late 1990s when Russian energy giant Gazprom and Western partners envisioned a direct pipeline connecting Russian gas fields to European markets. The first Nord Stream pipeline was inaugurated in 2011 by then-President Dmitry Medvedev and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, running 1,200 kilometers under the Baltic Sea.

It didn’t take long for this vital infrastructure to become a lightning rod for criticism. While Germany viewed it as an economic boon, the United States and Eastern European nations saw it as a dangerous tool of Kremlin influence. Critics warned that the pipeline would entrench Europe’s dependence on Russian gas, giving Moscow disproportionate leverage over European economies. Despite such warnings, construction of Nord Stream 2 began in 2018, promising to double the route’s capacity to 110 billion cubic meters of gas per year.

From Energy Lifeline to Political Liability

By the time Nord Stream 2 was completed in September 2021, the world had changed. Geopolitical tensions were at a boiling point, and Germany’s new government under Chancellor Olaf Scholz stalled its certification, citing regulatory delays and rising security concerns. The timing could not have been worse: Europe was already grappling with an energy crisis, and pressure mounted to activate the pipeline. Yet, Berlin refused to move forward.

Then came February 2022. Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, triggering sweeping Western sanctions. The fate of Nord Stream 2 was sealed — or so it seemed. In August 2022, Gazprom shut down Nord Stream 1, citing technical difficulties caused by sanctions. One month later, a series of underwater explosions ripped through both Nord Stream pipelines, rendering them inoperable. Europe bid farewell to the era of cheap Russian gas, and Germany was left scrambling for alternative energy sources.


Who Sabotaged Nord Stream?

The mystery of the Nord Stream explosions remains unsolved. Fingers were pointed in all directions. Investigative journalist 

Seymour Hersh alleged a covert U.S.-Norwegian operation was responsible, while other analysts proposed Ukrainian involvement. Official investigations stalled, leaving more questions than answers. However, the pipeline’s physical destruction was not the final twist in its story.

A $9.5 Billion Asset Up for Grabs

Nord Stream 2 wasn’t just a pipeline; it was a monumental investment involving companies from Germany, France, the Netherlands, and Russia. With construction costs reaching €9.5 billion, its collapse left behind legal and financial chaos. Its operating company, Nord Stream 2 AG, declared bankruptcy, yet under Swiss law, the legal proceedings dragged on. In January 2025, a Swiss court extended the moratorium on bankruptcy proceedings, giving the company until May to settle small creditor claims.

While Russia refuses to acknowledge the bankruptcy of Gazprom’s subsidiary, Swiss law governs Nord Stream 2 AG. This legal limbo has made the company a tantalizing asset — a multibillion-dollar pipeline, potentially available for pennies on the dollar.

Enter Trump — And a Surprising U.S. Investor

With Donald Trump’s return to the White House in 2025, rumors of Nord Stream 2’s resurrection have gained traction. Matthäus Warnig, Nord Stream 2’s managing director and a former East German intelligence officer with close ties to Putin, is reportedly lobbying U.S. investors to step in. One name stands out: American investor Stephen Lynch. In early 2024, Lynch secured a license from the U.S. Treasury allowing him to negotiate with sanctioned companies, including Nord Stream 2 AG.

Lynch sees Nord Stream 2 as a unique opportunity for America — a chance to control European energy flows until the twilight of the fossil fuel era. It’s a bold bet, especially considering Trump’s first-term rhetoric lambasting Nord Stream 2 as a gift to the Kremlin. But some in Trump’s inner circle now see the pipeline as a potential bargaining chip — leverage that could help broker a ceasefire in Ukraine or reset relations with Moscow.

Who Wins — And Who Loses?

If Nord Stream 2 were to be revived, the geopolitical ripples would be enormous. The winners could include:

  • Russia: Nord Stream 2 offers Putin a shortcut back into the European gas market. If U.S. investors control the pipeline, Moscow would still profit — but through a Western middleman.
  • The United States: Washington would gain unprecedented control over European energy, transforming the pipeline from a Russian weapon into an American one.

However, the losers could be just as significant:

  • Germany: Berlin faces a political nightmare — stuck between its anti-Russia stance and the economic reality of lost investment and skyrocketing energy prices.
  • Ukraine: Kyiv fiercely opposes any revival that could restore Moscow’s energy dominance.
  • European Energy Giants: Companies like Shell and Engie, which already wrote off their Nord Stream 2 investments, face continued financial uncertainty.

Three Scenarios for Nord Stream 2’s Future

At this stage, the pipeline’s fate boils down to three possible scenarios:

  1. A Peace Deal Unlocks the Pipeline: In this case, Nord Stream 2 would help alleviate Europe’s energy crunch, but at the cost of renewed dependence on Russian gas.
  2. U.S. Takeover Transforms the Pipeline into a Geopolitical Tool: America gains strategic control but at the risk of deepening tensions with European allies.
  3. The Pipeline Becomes a Sunken Relic: Political paralysis leaves Nord Stream 2 a rusting monument to failed diplomacy, quietly corroding under the Baltic Sea.

The Pipeline’s Ghost Lingers

Nord Stream 2’s story is far from over. It is not just about energy — it’s about power, money, and global influence. As Europe struggles to recalibrate its energy policy and the U.S. reassesses its global strategy under Trump 2.0, Nord Stream 2 could either become a bargaining chip in a new geopolitical deal or a haunting reminder of shattered ambitions.

What’s your bet? Revival, takeover, or decay?

I also invite you to take a look at this site- www.whatfinger.com

Friday, March 7, 2025

They Blew Your Money, DOGE Exposed It

Our money funded DEI scholarships in Burma, a study on lizards being blown off trees with leaf blowers, a bearded ladies cabaret show, circumcisions in Mozambique, and smart toilets.

As it turns out, it’s still there.

Of all the tea I could have chosen to write about, I decided to focus on DOGE.

Truth be told, I’m obsessed with the “unpresidented” bromance between Trump and Elon Musk, and I wake up every morning like a kid looking for the elf on the shelf to see what ridiculous things our government purchased with our lawfully stolen tax dollars. (I also wake up each morning hoping that today is the day that Trump will abolish the IRS.)

If you want to know what our government has really been up to and what DOGE uncovered while we were sleeping, keep reading.


We’re only one month into President Donald Trump’s second term, and the literal swamp is draining at the speed of a Category 5 hurricane. This endeavor wasn’t a haphazard effort—it was a meticulously planned, strategically executed offensive against the bloated bureaucracy that has been bleeding taxpayers dry. The revelations so far are nothing short of staggering.

Political ideology aside, most reasonable people don’t like having their hard-earned money stolen and wasted on nonsense—unless, of course, you are a Congressman reaping the benefits or an insider profiting from the grift.

Nobody goes to work each day hoping the asinine amount of money they have to pay to their government in taxes goes toward “Diversity Equity Inclusion” (DEI) scholarships in Burma (a country in Southeast Asia), securing Paraguay’s border, a Harvard study on lizards being blown off trees with leaf blowers, a bearded ladies cabaret show on ice focused on climate change, voluntary circumcisions in Mozambique, or a study on ‘smart toilets’ that recognize the user’s ‘anal print.’

Enter DOGE—the “Department of Government Efficiency.” In just four weeks, this initiative, led by Elon Musk, owner of X and founder of Tesla, SpaceX, Neuralink, and countless other companies, has uncovered and dismantled some of the most wasteful, nonsensical, and downright ridiculous spending projects Washington has been dumping our tax dollars into.

And the Democrats’ response? Well, if you thought they’d take a moment of self-reflection, you’d be sorely mistaken. Instead, they’re clutching their pearls, crying about extremism, and fighting tooth and nail to keep the cash flowing to their pet projects—despite the fact that the American people overwhelmingly voted for this.

Let’s take a moment to look at where our money was actually going before DOGE entered the chat, shall we?

Within five minutes of hitting the scene, DOGE revealed that ten million dollars in taxpayer funds were spent creating transgender mice, rats, and monkeys, and another million was spent to find out if these “transgender rats” would overdose on date rape drugs.

More than two million dollars was awarded to pay for “gender-affirming care” in Guatemala. While millions of Americans struggled under Biden’s inflation, Washington elites thought it was a great idea to send your tax dollars to fund gender transition surgeries and hormone therapies in Central America. Because, apparently, that’s a top national priority. DOGE, of course, shut it down, and Democrats had a meltdown.

According to them, cutting this funding is hateful. Imagine living in a world where the government of the United States owes Guatemalans taxpayer-funded gender transitions but doesn’t owe its own citizens secure borders or an economy that doesn’t crush the middle class.

As if taxpayer-funded gender transitions in Guatemala weren’t bad enough, DOGE also exposed millions of dollars being funneled into absurd cultural programs overseas. For example, under Biden, the State Department thought it was a great idea to fund drag shows in Ecuador as part of an initiative to promote “diversity and inclusion” abroad. Evidently, what struggling American families really needed was for their hard-earned money to bankroll gender-bending cabaret performances in South America.

DOGE further revealed that $47 million was spent to “improve learning outcomes” in Asia while American students fell further behind, $20 million was handed to Iraq for Sesame Street programming, $1.5 million went to Liberia to boost “voter confidence,” $101 million was wasted on 29 DEI contracts, and $100 million was funneled into condom distribution in Gaza, which reports suggest was repurposed by Hamas to make bombs.

But that’s not all. DOGE uncovered millions sent to Pakistan to fund “gender studies programs” aimed at promoting feminism and LGBTQ+ activism. While American veterans went homeless and inflation crushed the middle class, Washington elites decided Pakistan needed a crash course in gender theory—courtesy of the U.S. taxpayer.

Hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars were also used to rent the Roosevelt Hotel in Manhattan to house illegal migrants, proving once again that non-citizens were a higher priority to the previous administration than the people footing the bill.

As DOGE peeled back the layers of wasteful government spending, one agency kept appearing at the center of the grift…

I also invite you to take a look at this site- www.whatfinger.com

Thursday, March 6, 2025

Why Dictators Fail (I just hoped we'd have a bit longer)



Every dictatorship starts as a fantasy.

A population enveloped by problems beyond its control desperately seeks a daddy-figure to make everything right again. They cling to soundbites and bullshit, convincing themselves that they be true. In these environments, arrogance outmuscles rationality, so those pointing to evidence or logic are left behind.

It’s childish. Reminds me of the nonsensical promises teens make when running for class president. Remember Summer Wheatley’s speech from Napoleon Dynamite?

I would make a great class president because I promise to put two new pop machines in the cafeteria, and I’m also gonna get a glitter Bonne Bell dispenser for all the girls’ bathrooms. Oh, and we’re gonna get new cheerleading uniforms. Anyway, I think I’d be a great class president. So, who wants to eat chimichangas next year? Not me. See, with me it will be summer all year long. Vote for Summer.

Change a few words and these tricks work just as well with the unwashed masses. Unfortunately, unlike high school the consequences are disasterous – especially, when checks and balances are dismantled by dictators.

Dictators will promise anything to get into power. Once unrestrained, they are reckless, paranoid, and more focused on holding onto power than governing well.

Dictators don’t answer to anyone. They replace competent officials with loyalists. They rule by fear. They rarely step down voluntarily. Muammar Gaddafi ruled Libya for 42 years before rebels dragged him out of a drainage pipe and shot him. The Kim dynasty in North Korea clings to power by isolating their people from the outside world. When dictators fall, they take their countries down with them.

I started this article researching examples of successful dictatorships, economically and socially. “Success” is subjective, but one could argue China over the past 25 years has made significant economic and social progress, despite (or because of?) it’s political structure. Clearly most dictatorships don’t share this degree of success.

As I did my research, what I started to find common reasons why most dictatorships cannot succeed. Structurally, its almost impossible for this type of system to last. I consolidated these findings into three broad themes, which I share below.

“A single death is a tragedy; a million deaths is a statistic.” — Attributed to Joseph Stalin

1) They Rule by Fear, Not Competence

Dictators fear opposition, since opposition risks displacing their power. So they surround themselves with yes-men, marginalizing – often by imprisonment or execution – those with contradictory views. Given the the consequences of speaking up, facts, intelligence, and information is suppressed in favor of alignment.

Valuing loyalty over competence, they weaken both their government and country.

Stalin’s Great Purge (1936-1938) was a masterclass in self-destruction. After the assassination of Sergei Kirov, Stalin used it as an excuse to purge rivals. He had 700,000 people executed and sent millions to the Gulag. The NKVD, his secret police, tortured people into confessing to imaginary crimes. He purged military officers, leaving the Red Army weakened before World War II. His paranoia crippled his own government, ensuring that survival – not effectiveness – became the priority.

When competence isn’t protected, as it is in a democracy, a country becomes vulnerable economically and militarily.

2) They Destroy Their Own Economies

Dictators promise economic miracles, but they usually end up making things worse. Without accountability, they make reckless choices. Corruption runs rampant. Mismanagement turns prosperity into collapse.

Mao Zedong launched the Great Leap Forward to rapidly industrialize China. He forced millions of peasants to stop farming and work on backyard steel furnaces, which produced useless metal. Meanwhile, collective farms had to meet impossible grain quotas, and local officials, afraid of punishment, lied about production numbers. The government took food that didn’t exist, leaving millions to starve. Mao’s policies killed 30 to 45 million people. Instead of admitting failure, he launched the Cultural Revolution, purging intellectuals and wrecking institutions.

Nicolás Maduro turned Venezuela, once one of the richest oil nations, into a failed state. He seized businesses, set price controls that discouraged production, and printed massive amounts of money to cover deficits. Inflation skyrocketed past 1,000,000%, wiping out savings. Basic goods became luxuries. Over seven million people fled. Instead of fixing the economy, he jailed opponents and crushed protests.

Similar to point #1, in a country where competence is suppressed the leader can do no wrong. They overestimate their planning prowess, and start fiddling with things instead of allowing economies to operate organically.

3) They Start Wars They Can’t Win

Dictators need enemies. It distracts from their failures and rallies their people. Just look how quickly US tariffs imposed on Canada rallied the Canadian people around a common cause. Dictators use that to their advantage.

Wars require strategy and resources, and dictators often have neither.

For example, despite early successes, Hitler pursued an expansionist vision that was doomed to fail by his own arrogance.

Early in the war, Blitzkrieg tactics crushed Poland, France, and much of Europe. But Germany relied on quick victories and couldn’t sustain a long war. When Hitler invaded the Soviet Union in 1941, he underestimated Soviet resistance. He expected a swift collapse, but the Soviets had manpower, brutal winters, and an industrial base far from the front lines. Then he declared war on the U.S., bringing the world’s largest economy into the fight. Germany couldn’t match Allied production. His refusal to retreat or adapt sealed his fate. Like most dictators, he valued loyalty over competence, and that ensured his downfall.

“Dictators ride to and fro upon tigers which they dare not dismount. And the tigers are getting hungry.” — Winston Churchill

How the U.S. Is Following the Authoritarian Playbook

Dictatorships sometimes work in the short term. They promise order, discipline and reforms that benefit the public. That is their appeal. But absolute power breeds corruption, fear, and incompetence.

Democracy isn’t perfect, but it’s the only system that allows for self-correction. Leaders come and go. Power shifts peacefully. People have a say. Dictatorships promise stability, but history shows they always end in collapse.

Sadly, the U.S. has been following the footsteps of many failed states.

Non-partisan civil servants, military leaders, and supreme court justices are being replaced with loyalists. Cabinet members and party representatives are captured by group think, with little room for unaligned views. This was plain to see in yesterday’s State of the Union address.

Overall, competence is being replaced with obedience. We’ve seen how this plays out. This is the same playbook dictators use – gutting institutions, consolidating power, and justifying it with promises of restoring greatness, eliminating enemies, and enforcing order.

We are abandoning facts and discourse, and accelerating the destruction of our planet and civilization. The loudest voice wins, and no right-leaning politician would dare push back on plans to ban the words “climate change” or to end environmental regulations. Rather, we’re at the stage where plutocrats count their money as the world burns.

I have long predicted the polycrisis, like other crises before, would trigger the rise of authoritarianism. It’s just sad to see it play out so predictably, as everyone cheers.

Like those preceding it, this is bound to fail. Unfortunately, it’ll take the rest of the world with it. Perhaps this was the final inescapable death blow – the planet in crisis was going to off us either way. I just hoped we’d have a bit longer.

I also invite you to take a look at this site- www.whatfinger.com

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